华尔街日报:普京气焰高 得益于美德中三要素

2022.01.26 08:26 cloctor 华尔街日报:普京气焰高 得益于美德中三要素

华尔街日报:普京气焰高 得益于美德中三要素
在军机上视察克里米亚附近黑海的普京,2015年8月18日 Reuters/路透社
俄罗斯与乌克兰间的紧张态势持续,普京政权气焰如此嚣张,得益于多种外界因素。“华尔街日报”一篇分析指出以下三种因素:美国对海外用兵投鼠忌器的厌战心理,德国对俄罗斯的能源依赖,和与中国的友好关系。都助长克里姆林宫施压乌克兰的气焰。
“华尔街日报”的华府主编赛布(Gerald F. Seib)的专文指出,俄国总统普京眼看乌克兰与俄渐行渐远,因而动念施压,但能够让他觉得可以这样做的理由,主要来自美、中、德3国间的相关连动。
前美国国防部长、长年分析俄国情势的盖茨(Robert Gates)认为:“普京眼看乌克兰与西方间强化关系已势不可挡,美国与其他欧洲盟国都在提供武器与训练;乌克兰也许加入不了北约,但与北约安全关系增加却日复一日,就普京看来,需要在局势恶化到不可逆之前展开施压。”
另一方面,美国连续3位总统奥巴马、特朗普及现任的拜登在言行上都表明,美国已厌倦海外行事,尤其军事动作,这让美国军事回应俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的可能性降低,特别去年夏天美国阿富汗撤军的狼狈相,更加深普京对美国不愿武力干预的判断。
曾在白宫国家安全会议任职、目前任教于哥伦比亚大学的俄国事务专家塞斯坦诺维奇(Stephen Sestanovich)说:“很难让人不联想,拜登在阿富汗的灰头土脸让普京觉得可以软土深掘。”
该文还指出,德国也在此刻给了普京怀疑西方会团结应对的理由。德国决定2022年底前关闭境内所有核电厂,使其能源更加仰赖俄国进口,使得普京手上又多了筹码。
赛布认为,德国官员在口头上力挺乌克兰,但实际行动时却又是另一回事。连人口100万出头的爱沙尼亚都愿把武器送至乌克兰展现团结相挺,人口8300万的德国却拒发许可让德制武器出口。
俄罗斯与中国的关系加温也给了普京一定的自信,他觉得俄国可在北京相助下,挺过西方对俄国一旦侵乌后祭出的经济制裁。普京也将是本届北京冬奥最具份量的外宾。
该文认为,削弱美国的国际威望是俄中的共同利益,如果俄罗斯施压乌克兰成功,更会给北京在台海问题上引路。前美国国防部长盖茨就说,如果俄中之间未就西方可能经济制裁俄国讨论北京如何支援,那才是怪事。

RFI 25/01/2022
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2022.01.26 08:26 Fatioma Hjælp til køb af ny Gaming PC på et budget

Hej /Denmark
Jeg står i denne situation, at jeg gerne vil købe ny gamer pc, idet min nuværende har 6 år på bagen og er for dårlig. Bruger min computer meget, men det ikke nødvendigvis altid gaming. Nuværende specs: https://imgur.com/a/6oKSVJQ
Jeg er interesseret i at købe en prebuilt PC (ved godt der kan være fordele ved at bygge selv, men kunne forstå den fordel var blevet mindre grundet høje priser). Jeg synes det er enormt svært at navigere PC markedet, da jeg ikke ved så meget om specs osv. og ligeledes gør ingen af mine kammerater.
Mit budget er på maks 10.000
Jeg går ikke så meget op i graphics, så har ikke behov for at kunne køre noget på ultra, men ville være rart med en PC, hvor man ikke skal køre de laveste settings for få en god FPS. Pt. spiller jeg ikke noget krævende, dog har jeg RDR2 på PC og på sigt kommer jeg nok til at spille Diablo 4, GTA 6 (hvis det nogensinde kommer) og måske Valorant eller lign.
Min kammerat nævnte Topdata som en god side, og derfor har jeg kigget på disse 2: https://topdata.dk/shop/422-1gamer-pro/13397-top-proi5-10400f16g-ramgtx1660-6g1tb-ssd-nvme/
https://topdata.dk/shop/422-1gamer-pro/13546-top-proi7-11700f16g-ramrtx3060ti-8g1tb-ssd-nvme/
Ville høre om folk har nogle erfaringer med disse eller har en god anbefaling, hvor man får god værdi for pengene. Kan se der har været et lignende opslag herinde for nogle dage siden, hvor jeg har læst alle svarerne, men der var budgettet noget højere, så kunne ikke gennemskue, hvad der så gav mening for mig.
Og så ville jeg høre, hvad folks erfaring er med Windows 11 kontra Windows 10, hvad giver mest mening?
Håber der er nogle der vil hjælpe eller kan pege mig i den rigtige retning, tak på forhånd!
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2022.01.26 08:26 Robinjo1985 Dough Starter In Bread

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2022.01.26 08:26 mostafa_tux پوستر/واقعه گوهرشاد

واقعه مسجد گوهرشاد؛ تقابل رضاخان با اعتقادات مذهبی
https://www.feedik.com/news/news/?id=1643195929000-2464&tags=پوسترواقعه-گوهرشاد
لینک دریافت خبرنامه ایمیلی:
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2022.01.26 08:26 Robinjo1985 Buttermilk Cheese Bread

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2022.01.26 08:26 WamuuPillarMen69 What is a game you put off for a long time but ended up loving when you played it?

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2022.01.26 08:26 dj-empathie21 Dj Empathie

Anyone got links to arcade or Omnisphere?
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2022.01.26 08:26 Intrepid-Reindeer-98 [Undergraduate] Synthesis of tripeptides by N-protection (t-butyloxy carbonyl and phthaloyl) & C-activating groups.

I can't seem to find this reaction in my essesntial reading list books and don't know where to look googling isn't helping either, please help.
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2022.01.26 08:26 kurshaka My referral code for 20% on your first purchase

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2022.01.26 08:26 Robinjo1985 Quick Sourdough French Bread

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2022.01.26 08:26 Moist_Age6983 SHAQ Dance Battle against son #shorts

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2022.01.26 08:26 nWjGf If the employees who are working with general public start using body cam, like police, what problems with resolve and create?

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2022.01.26 08:26 mostafa_tux عکس/ترافیک کامیون‌ها در بندر دوور انگلیس

رانندگان کاغذبازی‌های کووید۱۹ را عامل تاخیر عبور از این بندر می‌دانند.
https://www.feedik.com/news/news/?id=1643195825000-9290&tags=عکسترافیک-کامیون‌ها-بندر-دوور-انگلیس
لینک دریافت خبرنامه ایمیلی:
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2022.01.26 08:26 Consistent-Boat9649 SARS-22 Outbreak in China.

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2022.01.26 08:26 Robinjo1985 Jewish "corn" Bread (1 Of 2)

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2022.01.26 08:26 qqlski58 Warehouse scanner (cycles)

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2022.01.26 08:26 Robinjo1985 Sourdough Raisin-oat Bread

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2022.01.26 08:26 Shadow_Strike99 Who is your absolute favorite companion/follower in any game ever?

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2022.01.26 08:26 PoisonKiss43 Me_irl

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2022.01.26 08:26 mostafa_tux مهاجری در اتریش با چاقو به یک زن حمله کرد

یک مهاجر ارمنی در مرکز شهر کلاگنفورت اتریش به یک زن مسن حمله کرد.
https://www.feedik.com/news/news/?id=1643195787000-9448&tags=مهاجری-اتریش-چاقو-حمله
لینک دریافت خبرنامه ایمیلی:
yun.ixk9ksd
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2022.01.26 08:26 Silly_lil_Billy Which season of Total Drama is the best?

Hey everyone! My review series about the Total Drama seasons is finally finished and I am looking forward to releasing it to the public this sunday! As a little celebration, I was wondering what you guys think is the best season of the show?
(ps: I couldn't include every season so I bundled AS and PI in one)
View Poll
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2022.01.26 08:26 Appropriate_Oil4790 Bitpanda Helpdesk doesn't seem to be working

Bitpanda has blocked my withdraws and says they have emailed me what to do but I did not receive any email from them. I contacted the Helpdesk a few times and waited several days but they haven't either resolved the issue or answered any of my messages!! Does anyone know what's going on???
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2022.01.26 08:26 TronicBoy The Future of Social Networking - Startups Meet (2021)

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2022.01.26 08:26 MasonMSU Rads Disappearing Bug

Has anyone else been experiencing this? It’s been happening multiple times during my play sessions and seems to be triggered joining public teams.
I know this is mostly a concern for bloodied builds but it’s a major pain in the can! I’ve searched the sub for similar posts but haven’t found any other posts on this.
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2022.01.26 08:26 Solan42 Shortcut button woes.

Just curious what percent of users think the 4 channel shortcut buttons on the remote are more of an annoyance than a useful tool.
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